There goes that theory

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From the latest WaPo-ABC tracking poll:

Younger white evangelical Protestants (under age 39) break more for McCain than do older people in that group, 85 percent to 13 percent.

We’ll see how it all turns out on Tuesday, but I’m betting on white evangelicals splitting not by age but by region.
As for the Jews, the poll has them at 70-29 for Obama, which (if I do say so myself) is what I predicted two months ago:

Revised prediction on the Jewish vote in November: Obama, 70 percent; McCain, 28 percent, Nader 2 percent.

We’ll see on that too, eh Kiener?