exit polls
Abortion was no dud for Democrats
By Mark Silk — November 9, 2022
(RNS) — In the midterm election, it was what held back the red wave.
Study: Multiracial churches growing, but racial unity may be elusive
By Yonat Shimron — November 12, 2020
(RNS) — Diversity is a one-way street, the new study found. In nearly all cases, Blacks are joining mostly white congregations. Few whites join predominantly Black churches.
Exit polls show few changes in the religious vote
By Yonat Shimron — November 5, 2020
(RNS) — Support for President Donald Trump among white evangelicals remained constant. Catholics split their vote. And non-Christians voted overwhelmingly for Joe Biden.
After Roy Moore, evangelicals must trade wishful thinking for soul-searching
By Jonathan Merritt — December 13, 2017
Some people choose to live in houses filled with covered mirrors, but Christians cannot afford to be those kinds of people.
What We’ll Know and When We’ll Know It
By Mark Silk — November 4, 2008
Pre-election polls come and go, and obsessed as we are with them, they matter little when all is said and done. But exit polls are something else entirely, both for historians and political scientists assessing the significance of elections and for politicians and their minions planning for the future. Think, in recent years, of the […]
Montana Dems and the None Factor
By Mark Silk — June 3, 2008
The first-take exit polls show Obama winning all attendance categories except weekly (more-than-weekly not large enough to register)–which is to say, he got the less religiously observant. He lost the Protestants sans Other Christians by a few points, but when combined, won them. He did much better among Catholics and Other Christians than among Protestants […]
Wisconsin for Obama?
By Mark Silk — February 19, 2008
No one has called Wisconsin yet on the Democratic side, but the exit polls look very good for Obama. Of particular note, he came within a few points of splitting the Catholic vote (48 percent to 51 percent for Clinton). That can’t help but bode well for him in states like Ohio and Pennsylvania.
State by State
By Mark Silk — February 13, 2008
Commentaries on the religious data from all available exit polls are finally posted (except Florida, which will be up tomorrow). Just click on the Exit Poll Commentary link under State by State to the left, and select the state of your choice. You’ll find a pie chart with the religious layout of each state, a […]
Louisiana by Religion
By Mark Silk — February 10, 2008
So what happened religiously in Louisiana yesterday? In the black-white affair on the Democratic side, the only attendance category that Clinton won was the Nevers—the six percent of the Democratic vote who said they never go to chruch–who split for her 56 percent to 44 percent. Not a big deal. Obama did win the Catholic […]
Super Tuesday Commentary
By Mark Silk — February 7, 2008
This is to let you know that commentary on the religious dimensions of the Super Tuesday voting is proceeding with all deliberate speed alphabetically, and has now reached Arkansas. You can reach it via the “Exit Poll Commentary” link under the State by State heading on the right-hand column.
CT for Obama
By Mark Silk — February 7, 2008
If any Super Tuesday state can be considered an upset win for Obama, it was Connecticut, where he was down double digits in the polls just a few weeks ago and came out on top by 51 percent to 47 percent. In today’s Hartford Courant, Mark Pazniokas has this secular account of how the Illinois […]
Georgia for Huck
By Mark Silk — February 6, 2008
The following is from my favorite informant on the doings of Christian conservatives in Georgia, a person I refer to as the Last Democrat in her suburban Atlanta church. I guess you saw last night the big voter turnout for Huckabee in GA – fueled by his non-stop appearances in white evangelical pulpits the last […]
Religious Coalitions and Super Tuesday
By johngreen — February 6, 2008
On Super Tuesday, John McCain benefited greatly from winner-take-all primaries in big states, but he also assembled the broad religious coalition that characterized his previous victories. California is a good example: he won the unaffiliated (43%) and white Catholics (40%), broke even with Romney among white Protestants (37%), and finished second among white evangelical Protestants […]
Single Religious Constituencies and Super Tuesday
By johngreen — February 6, 2008
On Super Tuesday, Mike Huckabee won four Southern states with a strong evangelical vote: Alabama (51% of the white born again Protestant vote), Georgia (45%), and Tennessee (43%), plus his home state of Arkansas. Evangelical votes also allowed him to closely contest Missouri (44%) and Oklahoma (39%). These figures resemble Huckabee’s showing in Iowa, among […]
New Mexico
By Mark Silk — February 5, 2008
Latino Catholics very strong for Clinton in New Mexico–but Obama stronger among the large number of religiously unaffiliated.
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